Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 46.934848 53.830298 60.995456 68.965218 77.551272 86.493784 96.482494
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 35.806825 45.375225 55.896463 68.191937 82.039775 97.036869 114.391081
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.946460 39.739983 52.141312 67.169143 84.627747 104.035965 127.012151
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.423842 36.059357 49.956624 67.320343 88.007682 111.483318 139.764431
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.892733 33.069695 48.149356 67.514019 91.095635 118.325364 151.606902
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.219748 30.815260 46.946237 68.175680 94.525198 125.405053 163.607169
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.378195 27.983705 44.721848 67.318748 95.910404 129.912757 172.476139
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.719803 26.590271 44.207465 68.488431 99.683102 137.206752 184.604390
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.396369 25.520980 44.004750 69.964150 103.771439 144.846903 197.139196
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.537795 23.418196 42.206919 69.195696 104.907370 148.800403 205.181090
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.622876 20.970518 39.721143 67.332711 104.499742 150.742926 210.699330
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.152246 20.859757 40.588039 70.026774 110.009994 160.071646 225.289155
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.442725 20.270767 40.722668 71.720309 114.260202 167.909516 238.181492
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.199222 18.548308 39.017958 70.736453 114.900023 171.153970 245.385352
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.117473 16.946756 37.365984 69.717154 115.406532 174.167353 252.259057
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.392604 15.932844 36.565255 69.868012 117.453282 179.131868 261.569570
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.763957 15.008633 35.835336 70.066758 119.528353 184.114231 270.900769
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.282482 14.324239 35.451241 70.743731 122.241821 189.920482 281.284213
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.648197 13.130054 34.093084 69.866866 122.734311 192.785781 287.908901
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.350470 12.726268 34.094744 71.063746 126.137627 199.488666 299.455733
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.118096 12.451190 34.304457 72.573530 129.985378 206.791939 311.798073
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.677574 11.450308 33.096368 71.787372 130.513511 209.657988 318.419461
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.213053 10.174934 31.247269 69.881153 129.356298 210.218869 322.023579